Sunday 2 April 2017, 16:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
60%
24%
17%
Home win
59.5%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
16.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Bologna | 16.5% | 6.06 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.7% | 13.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.1% | 7.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Bologna | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.7
|
5.3
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.1
|
11.4
|
4.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.5
|
9.7
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.9
|
5.9
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Bologna
1-2
Fiorentina
Oct 2025
Fiorentina
2-2
Bologna
May 2025
Fiorentina
3-2
Bologna
Dec 2024
Bologna
1-0
Fiorentina
Feb 2024
Bologna
2-0
Fiorentina
Nov 2023
Fiorentina
2-1
Bologna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.