Saturday 15 April 2017, 16:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
69%
22%
10%
Home win
68.7%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
9.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.5% | 4.64 | — | — |
| Empoli | 9.8% | 10.22 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.8% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.7% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.5% | 9.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| No | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Empoli | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Empoli | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.5
|
9.7
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.2
|
8.7
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.6
|
5.5
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.6
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Fiorentina
2-1
Empoli
Sep 2024
Empoli
0-0
Fiorentina
Feb 2024
Empoli
1-1
Fiorentina
Oct 2023
Fiorentina
0-2
Empoli
Feb 2023
Fiorentina
1-1
Empoli
Aug 2022
Empoli
0-0
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.