Sunday 2 September 2018, 21:30
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
69%
19%
11%
Home win
69.2%
Draw
19.5%
Away win
11.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.5% | 5.13 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 11.3% | 8.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.0% | 4.99 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.8% | 5.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| No | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Cagliari | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
3.5
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
9.3
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
9.6
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.0
|
7.0
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.9
|
3.8
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.2
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Cagliari
3-2
Atalanta
Dec 2025
Atalanta
2-1
Cagliari
Feb 2025
Atalanta
0-0
Cagliari
Dec 2024
Cagliari
0-1
Atalanta
Apr 2024
Cagliari
2-1
Atalanta
Sep 2023
Atalanta
2-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.