Monday 27 August 2018, 21:30
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
52%
27%
20%
Home win
52.4%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
20.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 20.3% | 4.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.9% | 10.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.5% | 10.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| No | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Atalanta | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.9
|
7.1
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.3
|
12.8
|
5.2
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
9.2
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.5
|
4.7
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
AS Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Jan 2026
Atalanta
1-0
AS Roma
May 2025
Atalanta
2-1
AS Roma
Dec 2024
AS Roma
0-2
Atalanta
May 2024
Atalanta
2-1
AS Roma
Jan 2024
AS Roma
1-1
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.