Sunday 30 September 2018, 16:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
40%
28%
32%
Home win
39.9%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
32.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.7% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.4% | 8.04 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Atalanta | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
8.2
|
5.5
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.4
|
13.2
|
7.6
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
8.6
|
5.3
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
4.0
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Fiorentina
1-1
Atalanta
Nov 2025
Atalanta
2-0
Fiorentina
Mar 2025
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Sep 2024
Atalanta
3-2
Fiorentina
Jun 2024
Atalanta
2-3
Fiorentina
Sep 2023
Fiorentina
3-2
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.