Saturday 22 September 2018, 19:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
55%
26%
20%
Home win
54.6%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
19.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Spal | 19.6% | 5.10 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.6% | 8.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Spal | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
6.3
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
12.3
|
5.2
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
9.6
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
5.3
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Aug 2020
Spal
1-3
Fiorentina
Jan 2020
Fiorentina
1-0
Spal
Feb 2019
Spal
1-4
Fiorentina
Apr 2018
Fiorentina
0-0
Spal
Nov 2017
Spal
1-1
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.