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Sunday 2 September 2018, 21:30 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
56% 24% 19%
Home win
56.4%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
19.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 56.4% 1.77
Draw 24.5% 4.09
Spal 19.2% 5.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.95
Over 1.5 76.4% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.6% 4.23
Over 2.5 51.4% 1.94
Under 2.5 48.6% 2.06
Over 3.5 29.3% 3.41
Under 3.5 70.7% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.2% 7.05
Under 4.5 85.8% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.6% 1.94
No 48.4% 2.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 80.8% 1.24
Torino / Spal 75.5% 1.32
Draw / Spal 43.6% 2.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
5.5
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
10.9
11.7
5.2
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.3
9.8
4.7
1.5
0.3
0.1
3
6.2
5.8
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
2.7
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Spal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.