Sunday 23 September 2018, 19:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
41%
29%
31%
Home win
40.7%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
30.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.3% | 10.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.7% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.4% | 9.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Atalanta | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.3
|
8.8
|
5.4
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
13.6
|
7.2
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
8.6
|
4.8
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
3.8
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AC Milan
2-3
Atalanta
Oct 2025
Atalanta
1-1
AC Milan
Apr 2025
AC Milan
0-1
Atalanta
Dec 2024
Atalanta
2-1
AC Milan
Feb 2024
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Dec 2023
Atalanta
3-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.