Tuesday 25 September 2018, 22:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
54%
25%
21%
Home win
53.7%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
21.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 21.3% | 4.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.3% | 4.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.4% | 6.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Inter / Fiorentina | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
5.8
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
11.9
|
5.7
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
9.8
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.6
|
5.7
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Fiorentina
1-1
Inter
Oct 2025
Inter
3-0
Fiorentina
Feb 2025
Inter
2-1
Fiorentina
Feb 2025
Fiorentina
3-0
Inter
Jan 2024
Fiorentina
0-1
Inter
Sep 2023
Inter
4-0
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.