Sunday 16 September 2018, 13:30
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
76%
17%
8%
Home win
75.8%
Draw
16.6%
Away win
7.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.6% | 6.04 | — | — |
| Chievo | 7.6% | 13.12 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.6% | 5.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Chievo | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
7.9
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.0
|
8.8
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.0
|
7.0
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.6
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.1
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Chievo
0-3
AS Roma
Apr 2018
AS Roma
4-1
Chievo
Dec 2017
Chievo
0-0
AS Roma
May 2017
Chievo
3-5
AS Roma
Dec 2016
AS Roma
3-1
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.