Sunday 2 September 2018, 21:30
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
44%
29%
27%
Home win
43.9%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
27.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Empoli | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.4% | 9.66 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.9% | 11.21 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Chievo / Empoli | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Empoli | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.4
|
8.8
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.1
|
13.7
|
6.4
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
8.7
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.9
|
3.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.