Sunday 26 August 2018, 21:30
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
43%
32%
25%
Home win
43.2%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
24.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 43.2% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Empoli | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.5% | 6.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.0% | 7.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.1% | 19.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| No | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Genoa / Empoli | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Empoli | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.5
|
10.4
|
4.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.3
|
13.9
|
5.4
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
7.6
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Genoa
1-1
Empoli
Dec 2024
Empoli
1-2
Genoa
Feb 2024
Empoli
0-0
Genoa
Dec 2023
Genoa
1-1
Empoli
Mar 2022
Genoa
0-0
Empoli
Nov 2021
Empoli
2-2
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.