Sunday 30 September 2018, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
26%
26%
47%
Home win
26.4%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
47.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Torino | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.86 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Chievo / Torino | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Torino | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
9.7
|
8.3
|
4.4
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
6.7
|
12.5
|
9.4
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.2
|
6.7
|
5.4
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
2.5
|
2.0
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Torino
3-0
Chievo
Apr 2018
Chievo
0-0
Torino
Nov 2017
Torino
1-1
Chievo
Apr 2017
Chievo
1-3
Torino
Nov 2016
Torino
2-1
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.