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Sunday 23 September 2018, 13:30 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
1–3
HT 0–2
24% 24% 51%
Home win
24.4%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
51.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 24.4% 4.09
Draw 24.5% 4.09
Napoli 51.1% 1.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.49
Over 1.5 80.5% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.5% 5.12
Over 2.5 57.3% 1.75
Under 2.5 42.7% 2.34
Over 3.5 34.9% 2.87
Under 3.5 65.1% 1.54
Over 4.5 18.2% 5.50
Under 4.5 81.8% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.6% 1.71
No 41.4% 2.41

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 48.9% 2.05
Torino / Napoli 75.5% 1.32
Draw / Napoli 75.6% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
8.5
8.2
4.9
2.2
0.8
1
5.4
11.4
9.7
5.8
2.6
0.9
2
3.6
6.4
5.7
3.4
1.5
0.6
3
1.4
2.5
2.3
1.4
0.6
0.2
4
0.4
0.7
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Napoli goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.