Wednesday 26 September 2018, 22:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
44%
29%
26%
Home win
44.1%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
26.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Chievo | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.9% | 9.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.9% | 5.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.3% | 12.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Genoa / Chievo | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.9
|
9.0
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.6
|
13.7
|
6.3
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
8.6
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.9
|
3.8
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Chievo
0-0
Genoa
Feb 2018
Chievo
0-1
Genoa
Sep 2017
Genoa
1-1
Chievo
Apr 2017
Genoa
1-2
Chievo
Dec 2016
Chievo
0-0
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.