Sunday 23 September 2018, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
68%
19%
13%
Home win
68.0%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
12.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
| Genoa | 12.6% | 7.95 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.24 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.7% | 5.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Lazio / Genoa | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
3.3
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.4
|
9.2
|
3.8
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.2
|
9.7
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.4
|
7.3
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
4.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.1
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Lazio
3-2
Genoa
Sep 2025
Genoa
0-3
Lazio
Apr 2025
Genoa
0-2
Lazio
Oct 2024
Lazio
3-0
Genoa
Apr 2024
Genoa
0-1
Lazio
Aug 2023
Lazio
0-1
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.