Sunday 16 September 2018, 19:00
Carlo Castellani
Full time
18%
23%
60%
Home win
17.6%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
59.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 17.6% | 5.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Lazio | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 17.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.1% | 4.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.6% | 5.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Empoli / Lazio | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
9.7
|
10.2
|
6.7
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
4.5
|
10.7
|
10.0
|
6.5
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
2.5
|
5.0
|
4.9
|
3.2
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.6
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Empoli
0-1
Lazio
Oct 2024
Lazio
2-1
Empoli
May 2024
Lazio
2-0
Empoli
Dec 2023
Empoli
0-2
Lazio
Jun 2023
Empoli
0-2
Lazio
Jan 2023
Lazio
2-2
Empoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.