Sunday 2 September 2018, 21:30
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
80%
13%
7%
Home win
79.8%
Draw
13.4%
Away win
6.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.4% | 7.44 | — | — |
| Frosinone | 6.8% | 14.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 31.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.6% | 7.93 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.6% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Lazio / Frosinone | 86.6% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Frosinone | 20.2% | 4.95 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
6.3
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
8.4
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.6
|
7.9
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.5
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.2
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.