Sunday 4 November 2018, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
34%
28%
39%
Home win
33.6%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
38.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.9% | 7.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Chievo / Sassuolo | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
9.1
|
6.7
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
13.2
|
8.5
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.7
|
7.9
|
5.4
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
3.3
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Sassuolo
4-0
Chievo
Apr 2018
Chievo
1-1
Sassuolo
Oct 2017
Sassuolo
0-0
Chievo
Feb 2017
Sassuolo
1-3
Chievo
Sep 2016
Chievo
2-1
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.