Sunday 7 October 2018, 19:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
77%
15%
8%
Home win
77.0%
Draw
14.9%
Away win
8.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.9% | 6.70 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 8.1% | 12.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.28 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.6% | 7.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Napoli / Sassuolo | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 23.0% | 4.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
7.0
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.2
|
8.8
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.0
|
7.9
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.7
|
5.3
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.6
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Napoli
1-0
Sassuolo
Aug 2025
Sassuolo
0-2
Napoli
Feb 2024
Sassuolo
1-6
Napoli
Aug 2023
Napoli
2-0
Sassuolo
Feb 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Napoli
Oct 2022
Napoli
4-0
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.