Saturday 29 September 2018, 19:00
Allianz Stadium
Full time
49%
27%
24%
Home win
49.0%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
23.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Napoli | 23.9% | 4.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.5% | 8.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| No | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus / Draw | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Juventus / Napoli | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
7.2
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
12.9
|
6.1
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.4
|
4.7
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
4.8
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Juventus
3-0
Napoli
Dec 2025
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Jan 2025
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Sep 2024
Juventus
0-0
Napoli
Mar 2024
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Dec 2023
Juventus
1-0
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.