Wednesday 26 September 2018, 22:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
64%
22%
14%
Home win
64.4%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
13.6%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Parma | 13.6% | 7.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.6% | 6.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Napoli / Parma | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Parma | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
4.4
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
10.5
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.3
|
9.7
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.0
|
6.4
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Parma
1-1
Napoli
Jan 2026
Napoli
0-0
Parma
May 2025
Parma
0-0
Napoli
Aug 2024
Napoli
2-1
Parma
Jan 2021
Napoli
2-0
Parma
Sep 2020
Parma
0-2
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.