Wednesday 26 September 2018, 22:00
Allianz Stadium
Full time
78%
16%
6%
Home win
77.7%
Draw
16.3%
Away win
6.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.3% | 6.12 | — | — |
| Bologna | 6.0% | 16.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.8% | 6.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| No | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus / Draw | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Juventus / Bologna | 83.7% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.9
|
7.4
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
16.3
|
8.0
|
2.0
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.4
|
6.1
|
1.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.0
|
3.5
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.2
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Juventus
2-0
Bologna
Dec 2025
Bologna
0-1
Juventus
May 2025
Bologna
1-1
Juventus
Dec 2024
Juventus
2-2
Bologna
May 2024
Bologna
3-3
Juventus
Aug 2023
Juventus
1-1
Bologna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.