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Sunday 23 September 2018, 16:00 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
16% 25% 59%
Home win
16.1%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
58.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 16.1% 6.23
Draw 25.3% 3.95
AS Roma 58.6% 1.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.62
Over 1.5 70.6% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.4% 3.40
Over 2.5 44.0% 2.27
Under 2.5 56.0% 1.79
Over 3.5 22.9% 4.37
Under 3.5 77.1% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.1% 9.95
Under 4.5 89.9% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.9% 2.28
No 56.1% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 41.4% 2.42
Bologna / AS Roma 74.7% 1.34
Draw / AS Roma 84.0% 1.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
14.0
12.3
6.9
2.9
1.0
1
6.0
11.8
9.3
5.2
2.2
0.7
2
2.5
4.2
3.6
2.0
0.8
0.3
3
0.6
1.1
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.