Sunday 28 October 2018, 13:30
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
45%
29%
27%
Home win
44.6%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
26.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.7% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Bologna | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.9% | 10.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.4% | 10.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| No | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Bologna | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.9
|
8.5
|
4.7
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
13.5
|
6.4
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
8.8
|
4.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
4.1
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Sassuolo
0-1
Bologna
Dec 2025
Bologna
1-1
Sassuolo
Feb 2024
Bologna
4-2
Sassuolo
Oct 2023
Sassuolo
1-1
Bologna
May 2023
Sassuolo
1-1
Bologna
Nov 2022
Bologna
3-0
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.