Monday 22 October 2018, 21:30
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
52%
25%
23%
Home win
51.8%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
23.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.8% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.0% | 4.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.6% | 6.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Sassuolo | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
5.6
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
11.7
|
6.2
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
9.7
|
5.5
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.1
|
5.7
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.5
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
Sampdoria
2-2
Sassuolo
Jan 2023
Sassuolo
1-2
Sampdoria
Feb 2022
Sampdoria
4-0
Sassuolo
Aug 2021
Sassuolo
0-0
Sampdoria
Apr 2021
Sassuolo
1-0
Sampdoria
Dec 2020
Sampdoria
2-3
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.