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Saturday 6 October 2018, 16:00 Sardegna Arena Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
37% 30% 32%
Home win
37.5%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
32.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari 37.5% 2.67
Draw 30.4% 3.29
Bologna 32.1% 3.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.72
Over 1.5 66.3% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.7% 2.96
Over 2.5 38.8% 2.58
Under 2.5 61.2% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.8% 5.31
Under 3.5 81.2% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 13.04
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.1% 2.17
No 53.9% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari / Draw 67.9% 1.47
Cagliari / Bologna 69.6% 1.44
Draw / Bologna 62.5% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
10.6
6.1
2.1
0.6
0.1
1
11.7
14.1
7.1
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
7.3
7.8
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
2.9
3.1
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.8
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Cagliari goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.