Saturday 29 September 2018, 21:30
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
73%
18%
9%
Home win
72.5%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
9.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.1% | 5.51 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 9.3% | 10.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.0% | 4.99 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.8% | 5.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Inter / Cagliari | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
8.6
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.3
|
9.2
|
3.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.0
|
7.0
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.7
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.6
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Inter
3-0
Cagliari
Sep 2025
Cagliari
0-2
Inter
Apr 2025
Inter
3-1
Cagliari
Dec 2024
Cagliari
0-3
Inter
Apr 2024
Inter
2-2
Cagliari
Aug 2023
Cagliari
0-2
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.