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Sunday 30 September 2018, 13:30 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
38% 30% 33%
Home win
37.7%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
32.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 37.7% 2.65
Draw 29.8% 3.35
Udinese 32.5% 3.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.35
Over 1.5 68.0% 1.47
Under 1.5 32.0% 3.12
Over 2.5 40.7% 2.46
Under 2.5 59.3% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.3% 4.92
Under 3.5 79.7% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.5% 11.73
Under 4.5 91.5% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.7% 2.10
No 52.3% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 67.5% 1.48
Bologna / Udinese 70.2% 1.42
Draw / Udinese 62.3% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
10.1
6.0
2.2
0.6
0.1
1
11.2
14.0
7.3
2.7
0.7
0.2
2
7.2
8.0
4.4
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
2.9
3.2
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.9
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.