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Wednesday 26 September 2018, 20:00 Dacia Arena Full time
1–2
HT 0–0
26% 23% 51%
Home win
25.6%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
51.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese 25.6% 3.91
Draw 23.0% 4.34
Lazio 51.4% 1.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.63
Over 1.5 84.8% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.2% 6.59
Over 2.5 64.2% 1.56
Under 2.5 35.8% 2.80
Over 3.5 42.2% 2.37
Under 3.5 57.8% 1.73
Over 4.5 23.9% 4.18
Under 4.5 76.1% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.1% 1.56
No 35.9% 2.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese / Draw 48.6% 2.06
Udinese / Lazio 77.0% 1.30
Draw / Lazio 74.4% 1.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
6.6
7.1
4.6
2.3
0.9
1
4.3
10.2
9.5
6.2
3.1
1.2
2
3.3
6.5
6.4
4.2
2.1
0.8
3
1.5
2.9
2.9
1.9
0.9
0.4
4
0.5
1.0
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
5
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Udinese goals. Columns: Lazio goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.