Tuesday 24 October 2017, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
60%
22%
18%
Home win
60.4%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
17.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 17.5% | 5.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 18.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.6% | 5.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.3% | 5.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| No | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Inter / Sampdoria | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
4.2
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
10.4
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
10.0
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.7
|
6.8
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Sampdoria
0-0
Inter
Oct 2022
Inter
3-0
Sampdoria
May 2022
Inter
3-0
Sampdoria
Sep 2021
Sampdoria
2-2
Inter
May 2021
Inter
5-1
Sampdoria
Jan 2021
Sampdoria
2-1
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.