Saturday 21 October 2017, 21:45
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
64%
20%
17%
Home win
63.9%
Draw
19.5%
Away win
16.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.5% | 5.13 | — | — |
| Inter | 16.6% | 6.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.0% | 7.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.7% | 2.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Napoli / Inter | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Inter | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
2.9
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
8.6
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
9.6
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
7.5
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
4.5
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Inter
2-2
Napoli
Oct 2025
Napoli
3-1
Inter
Mar 2025
Napoli
1-1
Inter
Nov 2024
Inter
1-1
Napoli
Mar 2024
Inter
1-1
Napoli
Dec 2023
Napoli
0-3
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.