Sunday 17 September 2017, 16:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
81%
14%
6%
Home win
80.7%
Draw
13.6%
Away win
5.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.6% | 7.36 | — | — |
| Benevento | 5.7% | 17.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.0% | 6.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.7% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.0% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
| No | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Napoli / Benevento | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Benevento | 19.3% | 5.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
6.5
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.6
|
8.1
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.1
|
7.2
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.0
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.3
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.