Saturday 25 February 2017, 19:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
54%
23%
22%
Home win
54.5%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
22.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.15 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.2% | 5.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.8% | 5.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Napoli / Atalanta | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
4.7
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
10.9
|
5.9
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
9.8
|
5.7
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
6.3
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
3.0
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Atalanta
2-1
Napoli
Nov 2025
Napoli
3-1
Atalanta
Jan 2025
Atalanta
2-3
Napoli
Nov 2024
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta
Mar 2024
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta
Nov 2023
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.