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Sunday 26 February 2017, 21:45 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
1–3
HT 0–1
33% 29% 38%
Home win
33.4%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
37.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter 33.4% 3.00
Draw 28.7% 3.48
AS Roma 37.9% 2.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.3% 10.80
Over 1.5 71.4% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.6% 3.49
Over 2.5 44.8% 2.23
Under 2.5 55.2% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.5% 4.25
Under 3.5 76.5% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.4% 9.57
Under 4.5 89.6% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.9% 1.96
No 49.1% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter / Draw 62.1% 1.61
Inter / AS Roma 71.3% 1.40
Draw / AS Roma 66.6% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.3
10.1
7.0
3.0
1.0
0.2
1
9.3
13.7
8.3
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
6.0
7.6
4.9
2.1
0.7
0.2
3
2.4
3.0
1.9
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.7
0.9
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.