Tuesday 7 February 2017, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
58%
22%
20%
Home win
57.5%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
20.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 20.1% | 4.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.2% | 5.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 40.7% | 2.45 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Fiorentina | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
4.2
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.1
|
10.3
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
9.9
|
5.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
6.7
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.0
|
3.4
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AS Roma
4-0
Fiorentina
Oct 2025
Fiorentina
1-2
AS Roma
May 2025
AS Roma
1-0
Fiorentina
Oct 2024
Fiorentina
5-1
AS Roma
Mar 2024
Fiorentina
2-2
AS Roma
Dec 2023
AS Roma
1-1
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.