Skip to content
Sunday 26 February 2017, 16:00 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
1–2
HT 1–1
35% 26% 38%
Home win
35.2%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
38.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 35.2% 2.84
Draw 26.4% 3.78
Cagliari 38.3% 2.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.36
Over 1.5 78.4% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.6% 4.62
Over 2.5 54.2% 1.85
Under 2.5 45.8% 2.18
Over 3.5 31.8% 3.14
Under 3.5 68.2% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.0% 6.26
Under 4.5 84.0% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.3% 1.72
No 41.7% 2.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 61.7% 1.62
Crotone / Cagliari 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Cagliari 64.8% 1.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
7.8
6.2
3.0
1.1
0.3
1
7.4
12.5
8.6
4.2
1.5
0.4
2
5.6
8.2
5.9
2.9
1.1
0.3
3
2.6
3.8
2.8
1.3
0.5
0.1
4
0.9
1.3
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: Cagliari goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.