Sunday 11 December 2016, 13:30
Sant'Elia
Full time
28%
23%
50%
Home win
27.5%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
49.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.5% | 4.44 | — | — |
| Napoli | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.0% | 7.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.4% | 3.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Napoli | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
5.6
|
6.2
|
4.2
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
3.9
|
9.5
|
9.1
|
6.2
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
3.3
|
6.6
|
6.7
|
4.6
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
3.3
|
3.3
|
2.2
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Cagliari
0-1
Napoli
Aug 2025
Napoli
1-0
Cagliari
May 2025
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Sep 2024
Cagliari
0-4
Napoli
Feb 2024
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Dec 2023
Napoli
2-1
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.