Monday 19 February 2018, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
80%
13%
8%
Home win
79.5%
Draw
12.7%
Away win
7.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.7% | 7.86 | — | — |
| Hellas Verona | 7.8% | 12.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.9% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.1% | 48.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.6% | 11.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Lazio / Hellas Verona | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Hellas Verona | 20.5% | 4.89 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.1
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
5.4
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.4
|
8.0
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
8.2
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
6.8
|
6.4
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.2
|
3.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Hellas Verona
0-1
Lazio
Aug 2025
Lazio
4-0
Hellas Verona
Jan 2025
Hellas Verona
0-3
Lazio
Sep 2024
Lazio
2-1
Hellas Verona
Apr 2024
Lazio
1-0
Hellas Verona
Dec 2023
Hellas Verona
1-1
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.