Sunday 21 October 2018, 19:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
63%
22%
15%
Home win
63.4%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
14.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 14.7% | 6.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.4% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.6% | 4.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.1% | 6.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.6% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Cagliari | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 36.6% | 2.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
4.3
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.9
|
10.4
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.5
|
9.8
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.7
|
6.6
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.8
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Fiorentina
1-2
Cagliari
Aug 2025
Cagliari
1-1
Fiorentina
Apr 2025
Cagliari
1-2
Fiorentina
Dec 2024
Fiorentina
1-0
Cagliari
May 2024
Cagliari
2-3
Fiorentina
Oct 2023
Fiorentina
3-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.