Sunday 7 October 2018, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
54%
22%
24%
Home win
53.5%
Draw
22.3%
Away win
24.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.3% | 4.49 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.8% | 26.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.9% | 7.19 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| No | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Lazio / Fiorentina | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.8
|
3.9
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
9.7
|
6.2
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
9.5
|
6.4
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
6.5
|
4.4
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.5
|
3.4
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Fiorentina
1-0
Lazio
Jan 2026
Lazio
2-2
Fiorentina
Jan 2025
Lazio
1-2
Fiorentina
Sep 2024
Fiorentina
2-1
Lazio
Feb 2024
Fiorentina
2-1
Lazio
Oct 2023
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.