Saturday 29 September 2018, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
51%
23%
25%
Home win
51.2%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
25.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Lazio | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.69 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.3% | 6.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.4% | 2.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Lazio | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
4.6
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
10.6
|
6.5
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
9.6
|
6.2
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
6.1
|
4.0
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.9
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AS Roma
2-0
Lazio
Sep 2025
Lazio
0-1
AS Roma
Apr 2025
Lazio
1-1
AS Roma
Jan 2025
AS Roma
2-0
Lazio
Apr 2024
AS Roma
1-0
Lazio
Nov 2023
Lazio
0-0
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.