Wednesday 26 September 2018, 22:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
84%
12%
3%
Home win
84.3%
Draw
12.4%
Away win
3.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.4% | 8.08 | — | — |
| Frosinone | 3.3% | 30.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.9% | 4.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.1% | 5.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| No | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Frosinone | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Frosinone | 15.7% | 6.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.5
|
5.4
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
17.6
|
6.4
|
1.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
15.0
|
5.5
|
1.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.5
|
3.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.9
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.