Saturday 20 October 2018, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
71%
20%
9%
Home win
70.9%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
9.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.6% | 5.11 | — | — |
| Spal | 9.5% | 10.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.7% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.1% | 7.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| No | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Spal | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.2
|
9.2
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.3
|
9.1
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.0
|
6.3
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.2
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jul 2020
Spal
1-6
AS Roma
Dec 2019
AS Roma
3-1
Spal
Mar 2019
Spal
2-1
AS Roma
Apr 2018
Spal
0-3
AS Roma
Dec 2017
AS Roma
3-1
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.