Saturday 6 October 2018, 21:30
Carlo Castellani
Full time
13%
24%
62%
Home win
13.5%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
62.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 13.5% | 7.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.7% | 10.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.6% | 10.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
| No | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Empoli / AS Roma | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.7
|
15.0
|
13.5
|
7.8
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
5.5
|
11.2
|
9.1
|
5.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
2.1
|
3.6
|
3.1
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Empoli
0-1
AS Roma
Aug 2024
AS Roma
1-2
Empoli
May 2024
Empoli
2-1
AS Roma
Sep 2023
AS Roma
7-0
Empoli
Feb 2023
AS Roma
2-0
Empoli
Sep 2022
Empoli
1-2
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.