Sunday 30 September 2018, 19:00
Ennio Tardini
Full time
54%
28%
18%
Home win
53.6%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
18.1%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.4% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Empoli | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.1% | 8.24 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.5% | 5.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.9% | 14.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| No | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma / Draw | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Parma / Empoli | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Empoli | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.1
|
7.6
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.8
|
12.7
|
4.3
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.9
|
8.6
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.