Sunday 4 November 2018, 13:30
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
69%
19%
12%
Home win
68.8%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
12.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.0% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Spal | 12.3% | 8.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.0% | 5.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.5% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.5% | 4.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Lazio / Spal | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
3.2
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
8.9
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
9.7
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.4
|
7.4
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.9
|
4.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.2
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
Lazio
5-1
Spal
Sep 2019
Spal
2-1
Lazio
Apr 2019
Spal
1-0
Lazio
Jan 2018
Spal
2-5
Lazio
Aug 2017
Lazio
0-0
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.