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Monday 29 October 2018, 21:30 Stadio Olimpico Full time
0–3
HT 0–2
41% 25% 34%
Home win
41.1%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
33.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio 41.1% 2.44
Draw 25.4% 3.94
Inter 33.6% 2.98

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.31
Over 1.5 81.3% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.7% 5.34
Over 2.5 58.5% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.5% 2.41
Over 3.5 36.1% 2.77
Under 3.5 63.9% 1.56
Over 4.5 19.1% 5.24
Under 4.5 80.9% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.5% 1.63
No 38.5% 2.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio / Draw 66.4% 1.51
Lazio / Inter 74.6% 1.34
Draw / Inter 58.9% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
6.2
4.9
2.4
0.8
0.2
1
7.0
11.7
7.9
3.8
1.4
0.4
2
6.2
8.8
6.3
3.0
1.1
0.3
3
3.3
4.7
3.4
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
1.3
1.9
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Lazio goals. Columns: Inter goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.