Sunday 21 October 2018, 16:00
Ennio Tardini
Full time
34%
25%
41%
Home win
33.5%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
41.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Lazio | 41.1% | 2.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.9% | 5.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma / Draw | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Parma / Lazio | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
7.1
|
6.2
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
6.3
|
11.7
|
8.9
|
4.7
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.9
|
7.9
|
6.3
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
3.8
|
3.0
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Lazio
1-1
Parma
Dec 2025
Parma
0-1
Lazio
Apr 2025
Lazio
2-2
Parma
Dec 2024
Parma
3-1
Lazio
May 2021
Lazio
1-0
Parma
Jan 2021
Parma
0-2
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.