Sunday 7 October 2018, 13:30
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
34%
32%
35%
Home win
33.5%
Draw
31.7%
Away win
34.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Parma | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.3% | 7.54 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.8% | 6.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.1% | 16.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Genoa / Parma | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Parma | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.3
|
12.3
|
6.9
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
14.3
|
7.1
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.6
|
7.0
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
2.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Parma
0-0
Genoa
Oct 2025
Genoa
0-0
Parma
Jan 2025
Genoa
1-0
Parma
Nov 2024
Parma
0-1
Genoa
Mar 2021
Parma
1-2
Genoa
Nov 2020
Genoa
1-2
Parma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.